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	<title>Extended Phenotype &#187; Technology</title>
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	<link>http://mark.madsenlab.org</link>
	<description>Scientia non habet inimicum nisi ignorantem</description>
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		<title>Facebook, Google+, and the Crafting of the Global Social Network</title>
		<link>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2011/07/facebook-google-and-the-crafting-of-the-global-social-network.html#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2011/07/facebook-google-and-the-crafting-of-the-global-social-network.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jul 2011 08:32:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Anthropology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Biology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mark.madsenlab.org/?p=1137</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I was one of the &#8220;lucky,&#8221; who has a friend (and ex-coworker) that works for Google, and so I got an early invite to Google Plus, their attempt to take on Facebook head-on (i.e., after Facebook has achieved dominance, as opposed to the early Orkut days). Google+ is oddly Facebook-like. This makes sense, given that&#8230;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was one of the &#8220;lucky,&#8221; who has a friend (and ex-coworker) that works for Google, and so I got  an early invite to Google Plus, their attempt to take on Facebook head-on (i.e., after Facebook has achieved dominance, as opposed to the early Orkut days).  </p>
<p>Google+ is oddly Facebook-like.  This makes sense, given that FB is well-used by people of all ages in many countries.  The design and interface are battle-tested (if also trivially and endlessly changable).  But there&#8217;s a key difference, and one that started me thinking about the real business that Facebook is in.  </p>
<p>That difference is, of course, the prominence of &#8220;Circles&#8221; in Google+, and the near-absence of features in Facebook for segmenting and targeting your communications.  Sure, one can create friend groups in Facebook, and then make status updates for just a friend group, but I&#8217;ll bet a lot of you either didn&#8217;t know that, or had never used it.  Heck, I&#8217;ve never used it despite my expressed desire on Facebook for just such a feature.  It&#8217;s nearly invisible on Facebook.  </p>
<p>It&#8217;s central and prominent on Google+.  Google wants us to *limit* and control, for ourselves, to whom we target our words and images.  Twitter almost insists upon the opposite, that we speak boldly into the ether, and whomever is listening will hear, whether we know the person or not.  </p>
<p>I&#8217;d bet that at Facebook, any feature which restricts the *volume* or *velocity* of messages that flow within the Facebook global social network are verboten, or anathema.  But at the same time, Facebook positions itself as providing control and &#8220;privacy,&#8221; despite numerous well-publicized privacy issues.  </p>
<p>Twitter largely self-organizes as a social network.  Facebook, on the other hand, is *crafting* the global social network.  It encourages us to accept the illusion of privacy in order to get us to friend more people, post more status, and expose our opinions and information than we would be willing to otherwise.  We should not, as a result, study the Facebook social network as if it were a reflection of our real-life social networks, because the two networks are different both in topology and in weighting.  </p>
<p>What Google+ is trying to do, and how that intent will translate into reality once it&#8217;s fully up and running, I have no idea.  It is, perhaps, not entirely clear to Google themselves, since they seem to start with goals and ideas, and let data and experiment drive them toward an ultimate plan and implementation.  In fact, I&#8217;ll bet the social network scientists and researchers at Google have studied the Facebook social network and its dynamics better than anybody else except Facebook&#8217;s social network scientists, and know a good deal about what makes it tick and what makes it sick.  </p>
<p>But it&#8217;s safe to say that they&#8217;ve made a couple of bets.  One is that Google is willing to accept a slightly lower velocity and average quantity of messages in the system.  This is inevitable because people will restrict more highly to whom  they send various status and messages if the means for doing so is prominent and core to the system&#8217;s operation.  The degree to which this effect will be prominent is open to question, but the underlying inequality in rates is pretty much built in.  They would make this bet if the increased loyalty they get from customers yields a better upside.  </p>
<p>Second, they&#8217;re betting that running a more organic and self-structured social network will yield better growth than a  manipulated and engineered social network.  Here, I&#8217;d bet that Google analyzed growth rates from various kinds of node-addition processes, and found that Facebook is oversaturating its degree distribution and eventually will lose the desirable &#8220;near-scale-free&#8221; network properties (for propagation), and will tend toward a distribution with too many degree correlations to propagate information efficiently.  That&#8217;s a complete conjecture on my part, but it&#8217;s backed by some solid science on the nature of information transfer on various network topologies.  </p>
<p>So Google+ is starting out in a seemingly interesting direction:  offering more well-integrated control over how and to whom we communicate, but with a familiar feel and design.  The real question now is, will enough people come and play, so that we can figure out how well it works, what Google is *really* doing, and whether that&#8217;s good or bad for individuals.  </p>
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		<title>A belated Towel Day perspective</title>
		<link>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2011/05/a-belated-towel-day-perspective.html#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2011/05/a-belated-towel-day-perspective.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 29 May 2011 05:13:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>mark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Anthropology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Biology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Personal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[anthropology]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[time]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mark.madsenlab.org/?p=1114</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This year, on Towel Day, I was busy, putting together a fundraising dinner for the UW Anthropology Department and the UW Student Farm.  So I didn&#8217;t really write anything, as I have in years past.  But not for lack of something to say.  I&#8217;m not sure what it is, exactly, about &#8220;Towel Day,&#8221; the semi-bogus&#8230;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This year, on Towel Day, I was busy, putting together a fundraising dinner for the UW Anthropology Department and the UW Student Farm.  So I didn&#8217;t really write anything, as I have in years past.  But not for lack of something to say.  I&#8217;m not sure what it is, exactly, about &#8220;Towel Day,&#8221; the semi-bogus holiday celebrated by fans of Douglas Adams each year, but it seems to bring out the &#8220;long view&#8221; in me, visions of civilizations rising and falling.  You&#8217;d think such thoughts would be triggered by someone more profound&#8230;by a rereading of Edward Gibbon or at least Barbara Tuchman, or even Carl Sagan reflecting on the immensity in which our parochial concerns are lost.</p>
<p>Nope.  Douglas Adams does it every time.  It&#8217;s the Golgafrinchans, at the end of <em>Restaurant At the End of the Universe</em>.</p>
<p>Because, of course, they&#8217;re us.  They&#8217;re our <em>bumbling, over-specialized, incapable of making a living for themselves, useless skills aplenty, useful skills thin on the ground</em>, selves.</p>
<p>And, as an archaeologist and social scientist, the Golgafrinchans always remind me of how fragile our civilization is.  I am a social scientist, and I read a good bit of contemporary social science, of course, but in my work I analyze phenomena at a much longer time scale.  I study societies and social groups as they come and go, are born by fission from some other group of people, flourish, perhaps give rise to social &#8220;offspring,&#8221; and eventually go extinct.  And what is more emblematic of social extinction than Adams&#8217;s portrayal of the Golgafrinchan Ark &#8220;B&#8221;, carrying the non-essential members of society off to form a new world&#8230;.</p>
<p>The Golgafrinchans occupy a place in my personal &#8220;wax museum of humanity&#8221; right next to Danny Hillis&#8217;s <a href="http://longnow.org/">Long Now</a> Foundation, and their 10,000 year clock.  Although the 24 hour news cycle and the buzz of tweets and instant information would have you believe otherwise, it is over much longer time scales that we can evaluate the success, and equitability, and sustainability of the various ways we humans have, of being human.  Our battles might be fought in days or years or lifetimes, but it is only our descendants that can truly &#8220;keep score&#8221; and decide how well we did.</p>
<p>The Long Now clock is designed to transcend us as a civilization, and as one of the ways we can communicate some of what we&#8217;ve learned with our far-future descendants.  It is designed not to require folks to be close enough to us in time and culture that they can read our writings, or comprehend our ideas, but to draw upon principles that are presumably deeper &#8212; not necessarily built into the laws of physics, mind you &#8212; but comprehensible to beings who are descended from our kind of minds, our kind of bodies.</p>
<p>Combine the perspective of an anthropologist studying the slow coming and going of societies, and the perspective of a software and systems engineer, and I think you get a sub-genre of futurism and speculation:  what it takes to &#8220;recover&#8221; the good bits of a civilization, after a collapse or other disaster.  Or simply the slow erosion of deep time.</p>
<p>I think of this problem in algorithmic terms.  If you wanted to maximize the chances of being able to recreate <em>us</em>, down the road after we&#8217;ve lost our knowledge, lost this particular set of scientific/democratic values, what is the &#8220;minimal instruction set&#8221;?</p>
<p><em>In short, what is the &#8220;boot loader&#8221; for an open, democratic society  combining expressive freedom and respect for scientific discovery</em>?</p>
<p>This is the closest I can come up with, and I do not claim that it&#8217;s a <em>deterministic</em> algorithm.  In other words, starting here, you are not guaranteed to replicate the aspects of our civilization we value.  It&#8217;s clearly stochastic, and there&#8217;s clearly a lot of noise.  Which means only that I&#8217;m giving an &#8220;initial condition&#8221; and transition probabilities for processes which are in the &#8220;basin of attraction&#8221; of the product we&#8217;re looking for, and that if you follow such rules, &#8220;more often than not,&#8221; you&#8217;d end up with something we&#8217;d recognize as an open society.  Assuming you either replicate the experiment a lot (i.e., send LOTS of Golgafrinchans to LOTS of uninhabited worlds), or wait for the experiment to repeat itself over and over (i.e., deep time).</p>
<p>But here&#8217;s the algorithm (and I don&#8217;t claim full originality here):</p>
<ol>
<li>Pay attention and observe patterns in the world around you, keeping an open mind.</li>
<li>Bang the rocks together, so to speak, and make things.  Especially new things.</li>
<li>Understand how competition <em>and</em> cooperation work, and why each is necessary.</li>
<li>Study those who are different, with an open mind.</li>
<li>Pass on what you learn, without too much prejudice.</li>
</ol>
<p>Put this algorithm on an endless loop, and you have something approximating the progressive parts of the last several thousand years of Western Civilization.   Ignore a couple of key clauses, and you have a much wider array of outcomes.  Not all good, and some downright scary.   Do it just like this, and you might, if you&#8217;re lucky, end up with an open, tolerant, prosperous, enlightened democracy.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s it.  That&#8217;s what it takes.  The Golgafrinchans managed it, apparently&#8230;and so did we.  But it was a narrow victory, and the question is whether we can manage to keep it up&#8230;..</p>
<p>Happy Towel Day!</p>
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		<title>AT&amp;T and the iPhone 4 Pre-Order Debacle</title>
		<link>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/06/att-and-the-iphone-4-pre-order-debacle.html#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/06/att-and-the-iphone-4-pre-order-debacle.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Jun 2010 22:16:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>mark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[computing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[performance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mark.madsenlab.org/?p=1057</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yesterday, we&#8217;re told, the crush of fanatical fanboys pre-ordering iPhones brought AT&#38;T&#8217;s servers to their knees.  Apple and AT&#38;T pre-sold 600K iPhones, and we&#8217;re told they processed 13 million eligibility requests during the day, as people tried over and over to get through.  Random reports surfaced about how the crushing load &#8220;crippled&#8221; AT&#38;T&#8217;s internal network,&#8230;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yesterday, we&#8217;re told, the crush of fanatical fanboys pre-ordering iPhones brought AT&amp;T&#8217;s servers to their knees.  Apple and AT&amp;T pre-sold 600K iPhones, and we&#8217;re told they processed <em>13 million eligibility requests</em> during the day, as people tried over and over to get through.  Random reports surfaced about how the crushing load &#8220;crippled&#8221; AT&amp;T&#8217;s internal network, and caused security glitches and the exposure of private customer data (again).</p>
<p>We&#8217;re supposed to believe that this overwhelming traffic load was unprecedented and brought their systems to a screeching halt.  Well, at least AT&amp;T&#8217;s systems &#8212; Apple&#8217;s systems seemed fine if you weren&#8217;t going through the eligibility portion of the check.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s the problem, though &#8212; if you run the numbers, and know something about web/database applications, it just doesn&#8217;t add up.</p>
<p>13 million database queries sounds like a lot.  But let&#8217;s say that all of these queries largely happened in the first 12 hours of the day yesterday, instead of spreading them out over the full 24 hour cycle.  That&#8217;s<strong> 1.08MM queries per hour</strong>, or <strong>300 queries per second</strong>, on average.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know if it sounds like a lot to you, but it&#8217;s really not.  Here&#8217;s a <a href="http://bit.ly/bZnSuh">Google query on &#8220;mysql queries per second&#8221;</a> just to get a general idea of what people are doing out there.  Many of the results range from 2003 through the present, and folks are doing a LOT more than this.  With clustering and various attempts to scale out, folks are doing <strong>10-20K per second</strong>.  Oracle, properly tuned, can do <a href="http://www.dba-oracle.com/m_transactions_per_second.htm">thousands to tens of thousands of transactions</a> (operations that change data, not just read it) per second.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m not a database expert, but I&#8217;ve worked around and with them for years, and I&#8217;ll say that 300 queries per second on average is not something that should cause one of the largest (and oldest, if one considers them the heir of the Bell System) telecom companies in the world to crumple under the load.</p>
<p>But traffic is bursty, not uniformly distributed.  So even if they saw periods with 10-50x greater load than average, we&#8217;re still in the ballpark for reasonable performance on a pure database query.  Note that I&#8217;m assuming that eligibility is a somewhat simple database query; we gave three items of data which obviously form a compound primary key, and AT&amp;T is supposed to return some information about eligibility for upgrade:  perhaps date, perhaps a few other bits of info.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s be generous and assume that 1K of data per eligibility request is returned (i.e., there&#8217;s little concern for efficiency).  That&#8217;s still only about 300K bytes per second of query results flowing back to Apple from AT&amp;T, or about 2.4Mbps.  Again, perhaps bursting to 20-100Mbps for very brief periods of time.  In other words, a couple of DS3s or a fast ethernet cross-connect are sufficient to carry the data back and forth.  One imagines this shouldn&#8217;t strain AT&amp;T&#8217;s internal network too much, despite random claims yesterday.</p>
<p>Of course, maybe the problem here isn&#8217;t database performance or bandwidth, but that AT&amp;T did the eligibility checks as API calls through a large enterprise system where a single check builds and then tears down many EJBs or other enterprise objects. This might be closer to the truth for a performance bottleneck here.  Maybe the system was built to handle tens, but not hundreds or thousands, of requests per second.  That&#8217;s plausible, but kind of stupid for a large engineering company used to having millions of subscribers and doing business globally.  But I could buy it.</p>
<p>But you&#8217;d imagine that they&#8217;d have learned something from three previous &#8220;major&#8221; iPhone releases, and the iPad 3G release, and figured out an easier way to quickly respond to eligibility requests.  After all, my eligibility isn&#8217;t a rapidly changing variable &#8212; I&#8217;m eligible on a certain day, and they know what that day is.  Which means that the eligibility of <strong>every iPhone owner on the planet</strong> could have been precalculated easily just before the iPhone4 launch, and cached.  It&#8217;s not that much data, frankly.  You could have cached a table with the user&#8217;s phone number, last 4 SSN, and zip (the keys they ask you to enter) hashed, and a eligibility &#8220;price code&#8221;, in a few gigs of memory on all the app servers, and just <strong>statically</strong> responded to queries for the first 24 hours, if you were worried that your enterprise systems wouldn&#8217;t handle &#8220;first day&#8221; load.</p>
<p>Anyhow, these are just ballpark figures, and they could be wildly wrong about the instantaneous loads experienced, etc.  But the general point is, 13MM eligibility checks and 600K preorders <strong>isn&#8217;t really a lot of load and traffic</strong>.  Ask Amazon or eBay what &#8220;a lot&#8221; of transactions looks like.</p>
<p>Or better yet, AT&amp;T, before the next launch, hire some of their ex-employees to take a look at your databases and systems.  Please.</p>
<p> </p>
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		<title>Doctorow v. Johnson:  iWhatevers versus Open Platforms and the Future of Computing</title>
		<link>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/04/doctorow-v-johnson-iwhatevers-versus-open-platforms-and-the-future-of-computing.html#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/04/doctorow-v-johnson-iwhatevers-versus-open-platforms-and-the-future-of-computing.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Apr 2010 15:49:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>mark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[apple]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[open access]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mark.madsenlab.org/?p=1042</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This last weekend the first iPads shipped to early adopters in the general public, including me. Like many of us in the technology business, I&#8217;ve kept a weather eye on the first impressions of many folks on the web, and friends in the industry. Most of these reactions are the stuff of geek discussion, and&#8230;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This last weekend the first iPads shipped to early adopters in the general public, including me.  Like many of us in the technology business, I&#8217;ve kept a weather eye on the first impressions of many folks on the web, and friends in the industry.  Most of these reactions are the stuff of geek discussion, and not terribly enlightening either about the device and its potential future uses, or the direction in which our industry is moving.</p>
<p>But one exchange is worth analysis and our attention, whatever the details of the device and our first impressions.  Cory Doctorow, open-source freedom fighter extraordinaire and speculative fiction author, published a widely discussed, negative essay concerning the very idea of the iPad.   By now, you&#8217;ve probably read it, or seen the link.  If you haven&#8217;t, <a href="http://www.boingboing.net/2010/04/02/why-i-wont-buy-an-ipad-and-think-you-shouldnt-either.html"> you should.</a>  </p>
<p>Cory&#8217;s essential points are two (with apologies if I&#8217;m missing something serious).  First, that open platforms (think Linux, Android, FreeBSD, etc) are structurally designed to foster innovation at minimal entry cost, and with minimum friction to the innovator, and minimal interference between the innovator and the eventual consumer of those innovations.   Second, Doctorow argues that the justification everyone is citing for the closed system &#8212; &#8220;making computers easy for mainstream users&#8221; &#8212; is insulting to mainstream users.  </p>
<p><a href="http://m.gizmodo.com/site?sid=gizmodoip&#038;pid=JuicerHub&#038;targetUrl=http://gizmodo.com/5508286/cory-doctorow-you-are-a-consumer-too%3Fop%3Dpost%26refId%3D5508286">Joel Johnson responds</a> that Doctorow&#8217;s principal arguments miss the point.  In particular, that openness and innovation are not causally linked to the extent that open-source and Linux advocates claim.  That innovation will thrive on the &#8220;nearly closed&#8221; platforms like the iPad and iPhone.</p>
<p><span id="more-1042"></span>The argument is one that technologists and designers ought to think about pretty deeply.  In fact, whichever side of the debate you tend to come down on, I believe you ought to sit and think hard about reasons why the other side might be right.  Because I believe something like the sum of Doctorow and Johnson&#8217;s arguments represent the future of computing.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s undeniable that truly open systems (as opposed to the controlled openness of late 1980&#8242;s &#8220;open systems&#8221;) like Linux have fostered a Cambrian explosion of innovation and tinkering.  Many of us, including myself, got their start in the computing world just as the Internet took off as a public phenomenon, with Linux, Apache, and Netscape as the principal &#8220;rocket boosters&#8221; for its success.  But there are signs that the Cambrian explosion has begun to slow from a proliferative to a winnowing phase, at least in some areas.  </p>
<p>There is still huge innovation on the server side, with new server-side frameworks and web toolkits, even new languages (i.e., the close coupling between the origins of Lift and Scala) and computing paradigms (clouds, Hadoop distributed computation) appearing monthly.  When one examines the server and deep application side, it&#8217;s hard to imagine that Doctorow isn&#8217;t exactly right.  Preservation of the openness of systems, the malleability of interfaces and even programming paradigms, is crucial to keeping the recombination going in this server-side cauldron of computing DNA.</p>
<p>Winnowing is occurring on the user experience front, however.  The winnowing-out process really began when we all decided that the web browser was the main arbiter of client-side experience.  In fact, that seems so obvious today that we forget that the browser used to simply be an HTML display engine, not a general-purpose UI framework for multi-language code execution.  We forget things like Pointcast, and other &#8220;rich internet client&#8221; examples, since for years they largely went away in favor of browser-based apps.  Even in &#8220;thick&#8221; applications like Microsoft Office, when internet interaction was required &#8212; say, for Help or looking up a template, the thick app would spawn a little unmarked IE window to do the &#8220;internet stuff.&#8221;</p>
<p>Johnson&#8217;s point, as I take it, is that this winnowing process on the user experience front has been a good thing, and should continue.  And I agree.  And Doctorow is wrong to focus on the &#8220;making a computer my mother can use&#8221; trope.  The intuition behind the trope is fine, as far as it goes, but the metaphor fails to dig down to the core of the issue.  Certainly, we nerds have done an insufficient job of hiding the underlying execution model of our software, and a poor job of interface and experience design, by and large.  Despite the efforts of Don Norman, Alan Cooper, and others, we in the open systems community continue to focus on the computational underbelly and not enough on the user&#8217;s experience.</p>
<p>Which is where Apple comes in.  We all know that the reason their devices continue to delight and appeal is that they are designed in every detail, by teams of design fanatics, led by our industry&#8217;s chief design obsessive.  And we all tell ourselves that the degree of design fanaticism that continues to suck us in is only possible with closed or semi-closed systems.  </p>
<p>And this is where we find ourselves today.  Those, like Doctorow, who value open systems for their innovation- and freedom-enhancing qualities, steer clear of Apple devices.  Those, like Johnson, who value the progress we&#8217;ve made toward highly usable, well-designed systems, eagerly await new Apple designs.  </p>
<p>I&#8217;d like to suggest that the distinction isn&#8217;t as sharp as we think, however.  The design fanaticism displayed by Apple is not inherently a feature of their approach to closed systems; closed systems simply make it easier.  The closed system is really just a choice, not a necessity, if one wants design excellence.  Similarly, the lack of design excellence displayed in most open-source software (I&#8217;m thinking about Linux desktop apps in particular here), is not inherently a feature of an open-source community.  Open-source projects simply make it harder to create and enforce design excellence.</p>
<p>One of Johnson&#8217;s points, as I read him, is that if we want innovation in applications, coupled with performance and design excellence, we need to stop reinventing the wheel on everything else constantly, and innovate at higher levels.  And that&#8217;s easiest when all you have to worry about is the application you&#8217;re designing, not the platform as well.  </p>
<p>Personally, I would love to see a world where we continue to see huge innovation on computing models in general, and free access to the fundamental tools for development, and options for retaining control over security and privacy.  But in that world I&#8217;d also love reliable, gorgeous, high performance platforms like the iPad, as the mechanism by which the innovation that openness engenders is available to everyone.  That&#8217;s likely possible, in practical terms, only with a mixture of openness and closed systems.  </p>
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		<title>An iTunes irritation&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/02/an-itunes-irritation.html#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/02/an-itunes-irritation.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Feb 2010 19:22:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[computing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mark.madsenlab.org/?p=1040</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m watching TV almost exclusively from the Internet nowadays, and mostly by subscribing on iTunes and watching in HD from my AppleTV. This works incredibly well, once you have the season downloaded and ready to play. The downloading process exposes some seriously irritating bugs and/or design flaws in iTunes, however. I live at the northern&#8230;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m watching TV almost exclusively from the Internet nowadays, and mostly by subscribing on iTunes and watching in HD from my AppleTV.  This works incredibly well, once you have the season downloaded and ready to play.  </p>
<p>The downloading process exposes some seriously irritating bugs and/or design flaws in iTunes, however.  I live at the northern edge of civilization on an island (well, my Canadian friends would say the southern edge, and after reading coverage of the Tea Party Convention I&#8217;m inclined to agree&#8230;) and I have &#8220;difficult&#8221; internet connectivity.  This is no fault of my local ISP, who do an amazing job considering where I live.  </p>
<p>But I often encounter TCP resets in long downloads given the Motorola Canopy point-to-point wireless I use, and iTunes really behaves badly.  Despite having typed my Store password to begin the download, upon resumption, iTunes will ask me again.  And again.  And again.  Possibly once for every stream that needs to be resumed, but it doesn&#8217;t seem to be as well patterned as that.  The application hasn&#8217;t restarted, I haven&#8217;t logged out, it&#8217;s the same hardware underneath, why can&#8217;t the application cache the Store password used to initiate a given set of downloads for the duration?  Perhaps only asking me to retype if the application closes and restarts?  </p>
<p>This seems trivial, but if it happens frequently, and you&#8217;re not sitting in front of the computer to type your password whenever needed, downloading a season of episodes can literally take days.  Three thus far, in fact, for a show I&#8217;m subscribing to at the moment.  With 29 more items to go.  Basically, it&#8217;s going to take a week of retyping my iTunes Store password to get the entire season down, given my internet connection (which is normally pretty decent for browsing and other purposes).  </p>
<p>Doesn&#8217;t anybody in Cupertino test this type of use case?  </p>
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		<title>Do I still use that piece of software?</title>
		<link>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/02/do-i-still-use-that-piece-of-software.html#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/02/do-i-still-use-that-piece-of-software.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Feb 2010 00:06:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>mark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[complexity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[software]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mark.madsenlab.org/?p=1036</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Spending a few days bedridden with some nasty viral thing is giving me the unusual chance to spend time with my main laptop, but without the pressure to actually accomplish something (that would require lucidity and the ability to focus for more than a couple of minutes). A few minutes ago, I noticed an icon&#8230;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Spending a few days bedridden with some nasty viral thing is giving me the unusual chance to spend time with my main laptop, but without the pressure to actually accomplish something (that would require lucidity and the ability to focus for more than a couple of minutes).  A few minutes ago, I noticed an icon in my menu bar, and wondered &#8220;do I still need that piece of software?.&#8221;  Heck, what does it do?  </p>
<p>Of course I recognized the name, and that I&#8217;d been a user since their beta release, and I remembered renewing my license again this year, but what I couldn&#8217;t immediately remember was whether that software was still an integral part of keeping my information current, sync&#8217;d, backed up, etc.  Basically, is it necessary, or is it cruft?  </p>
<p>That&#8217;s a general problem these days, and arguably it&#8217;s a worse problem on the Mac platform than on Windows, though of course it exists there as well.  It&#8217;s more of a problem because Microsoft tries to build more of this stuff into Windows itself and its major desktop/server suites.  Apple leaves more of it to the ISV community.</p>
<p>And as I noted in a previous post, good Mac software can be had for twenty, forty or sixty bucks.  So people, especially professionals and developers, have a tendency to buy new apps just to see if it&#8217;s a bit better than the previous generation.  I&#8217;ve done that with notetaking software, outliners, todo list management, and a bewildering variety of synchronization, backup, and storage apps and utilities.  </p>
<p>All of which means that my laptop consistently has more than one &#8220;appendix&#8221; running &#8212; part of the system but functionally useless because it&#8217;s not being used.  </p>
<p>And all which contributes to complexity and difficulty in troubleshooting.  When my contacts database suddenly is empty, or has three or four copies of every contact (both of which seem to happen to me), which link in the synchronization chain is responsible?  Is it syncing Address Book to Google Contacts?  Plaxo syncing with Address Book?  </p>
<p>Ultimately, to manage all this complexity, we&#8217;re going to need to be able to map the information flow between applications, so I can ask the question and get an answer.  Today, I have to sit down and check each app&#8217;s preferences and configuration, and sort of make a list of where things are flowing, and rebuild the picture every time something goes wrong.  </p>
<p>In complex systems, just as much vital information is contained in the links between things, as in the things themselves&#8230; </p>
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		<title>Additional thoughts on the iPad</title>
		<link>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/02/additional-thoughts-on-the-ipad.html#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/02/additional-thoughts-on-the-ipad.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Feb 2010 20:51:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[computing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mark.madsenlab.org/?p=1033</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s been a week since the iPad announcement, and like many in this business, I&#8217;ve followed the opinions and punditry. My personal view is that the iPad is going to be a great product for Apple. It will also &#8212; and this isn&#8217;t quite the same as being a great product &#8212; be a commercial&#8230;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s been a week since the iPad announcement, and like many in this business, I&#8217;ve followed the opinions and punditry.  My personal view is that the iPad is going to be a great product for Apple.  It will also &#8212; and this isn&#8217;t quite the same as being a great product &#8212; be a commercial success.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s a lot of criticism about what the device doesn&#8217;t have built-in, or doesn&#8217;t support.  And there&#8217;s been a lot of &#8220;why, it&#8217;s nothing but a big iPod Touch.&#8221;  And the usual lists of &#8220;must have but missing&#8221; features from engineers and developers who are already gnashing their teeth about how useless the iPad will be.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s why we should ignore premature predictions of doom for the iPad.</p>
<p>Sure, there&#8217;s nothing shockingly new here.  In a sense, it&#8217;s a big iPod Touch.  Or it&#8217;s a slimmed down Tablet PC with integral Kindle.  Actually, it&#8217;s all of those things.</p>
<p>What we&#8217;re forgetting is that Apple&#8217;s main strength isn&#8217;t necessarily inventing a new category (marketing spin aside), it is in bringing hard-core user research and industrial design to bear on creating devices which end up &#8220;crossing the chasm&#8221; to the mainstream for a given technology.  THAT is what Apple, and Steve Jobs, are good at.  <span id="more-1033"></span>I know it&#8217;s hard to remember this far back, but in the late 1990&#8242;s many of us had MP3 player devices.  I had a big clunky one from Creative Labs, that was crafted to look exactly like an old-school Sony Walkman CD player &#8211; despite the fact that I was playing MP3 files, somehow it seemed like a good design decision to make the player flat and round and consequently bulky.  MP3 players existed, but let&#8217;s face it, in 1998 the &#8220;mainstream&#8221; didn&#8217;t have them &#8212; your grandparents didn&#8217;t have them to take golfing, or walking the beach, etc.</p>
<p>Apple changed that with the iPod.  And it wasn&#8217;t just the device, it was the ecosystem, and the support, and the deals they made with record labels who were in the midst of watching digital music eat their business.</p>
<p>We also had smartphones.  If you&#8217;re like me, you probably had several generations of smartphones before you touched an iPhone.  I had several Palm phones, a Treo running Palm, a Treo running Windows Mobile, a Blackberry or two, etc.  With the exception of Blackberry in business and government markets, smartphones became a &#8220;mainstream&#8221; phenomenon with the iPhone.</p>
<p>&#8220;Tablets&#8221; in various form factors have been around awhile too.  There are the modified laptops like the Toshibas.  I had one at Microsoft, and it was a &#8220;tablet&#8221; only in the sense that the screen turned around, rendering the entire 6 pound, 2 inch thick laptop a bulky version of a paper writing tablet.  Personally, I think the guys at Motion Computing have been the &#8220;tablet&#8221; makers to watch &#8212; thin, small, and I lusted after one apart from the fact that it ran Windows and was underpowered to do so.</p>
<p>So what I think we&#8217;re going to see with Apple and the iPad is that they&#8217;re taking the best of the tablet PC tradition &#8212; i.e., devices like Motion Computing &#8212; book readers like the Kindle, and the app ecosystem of the already successful iPhone, and blending it with their unerring ability to do solid industrial design for high technology.</p>
<p>I have no idea what applications the iPad will find.  Will it become big in health care, where Motion Computing has made inroads?  Will it replace PCs at home for many people with the need only to do email, browse the web, look up information, and manage photos?  Who knows at this point, really.</p>
<p>But if you&#8217;re betting the iPad will be a failure at this point, just from looking at the specs and what components it does or doesn&#8217;t contain, you&#8217;re ignoring the big picture.  Which is that Apple has an absolutely stellar track record of looking at developing technologies and areas of application, pushing their engineers and designers to produce something easy to use and gorgeous to look at, and then marketing it relentlessly to large, mainstream audiences.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s not a guarantee of success every time.  But if Jimmy the Greek were still with us, he wouldn&#8217;t give you good odds betting against Apple on this one.</p>
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		<title>iWork for the iPad:  Game changer for the software business</title>
		<link>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/01/iwork-for-the-ipad-game-changer-for-the-software-business.html#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/01/iwork-for-the-ipad-game-changer-for-the-software-business.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 31 Jan 2010 18:43:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>mark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[syndication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[computing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mark.madsenlab.org/?p=1029</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Amidst all of the positive and negative opinion pieces and postings which followed Apple&#8217;s iPad announcement this week, the impact to software businesses are only starting to become apparent. I think Apple&#8217;s announcement that iWork pricing will be $9.99 per app is significant. It&#8217;s game changing not for third-party ISVs already developing for the iPhone,&#8230;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Amidst all of the positive and negative opinion pieces and postings which followed Apple&#8217;s iPad announcement this week, the impact to software businesses are only starting to become apparent.  I think Apple&#8217;s announcement that iWork pricing will be $9.99 per app is significant.  </p>
<p>It&#8217;s game changing not for third-party ISVs already developing for the iPhone, since they&#8217;re used to charging 99 cents to a few bucks for an app.  For Mac software developers like OmniGroup, it&#8217;ll be challenging.  There is already a large Mac software ecosystem with apps priced in the $20 &#8211; $60 range.  These ISV&#8217;s have continued to charge such prices even while iPhone app prices dropped a zero, because the difference in functionality and screen size between a Mac laptop and the iPhone is significant.  The difference in what users can do is significant.</p>
<p>iWork on the iPad is a laptop/desktop experience, suitable for the vast majority of home and many business users.  And yet Apple dropped a zero on the pricing, basically.  With a presentation program, word processor, and spreadsheet available for $10 each, or $30 for the entire productivity suite, how will third party ISV&#8217;s charge $50 or $60 for an iPad version of their Mac software apps?  Perhaps they can&#8217;t.</p>
<p><span id="more-1029"></span>The problem, of course, comes when iPad gains measurable market share, not when rabid Apple fans line up for first-day sales.  Give it a couple of years, and there&#8217;s a couple of million of these things floating around, and ordinary people buy fewer laptops and have iPads at home or for travel instead.  They&#8217;ll get used to buying iPad apps for a few dollars more than a pure iPhone app.  They&#8217;ll get used to being able to do 75, 80, or even 100% of what they used to do on their laptops or desktops (again, I&#8217;m talking about non-developers, non-IT professionals here).  </p>
<p>And they&#8217;ll start rebelling against the notion that a multi-touch capable, gesture controlled, &#8220;natural&#8221; feeling user experience should cost $10 or $20, but when they need to sit down at a laptop or desktop computer and go back to keyboard and mouse, the OLD experience should cost $50, $100, or more.  </p>
<p>So third-party ISVs should be preparing for another phase transition in software pricing, downward.  As always, our demands for functionality and usability and seamless integration rise, and our tolerance for premium pricing drops.  </p>
<p>But <em>really</em> who&#8217;s in trouble given this pricing is Microsoft.  Despite iWork on the Mac, the reality is that Microsoft Office still has a lock on the productivity tools market.  Especially in businesses.  That hasn&#8217;t changed, and it won&#8217;t change tomorrow.</p>
<p>Nevertheless, anyone who thinks that Microsoft can continue to defend a price differential of hundreds of dollars for Office apps vs. iWork on the iPad, once the iPad gains market share, isn&#8217;t paying attention.  Businesses, especially US-based ones, are increasingly challenged to control costs and compete in a tough economy.  </p>
<p>Office Standard 2007 costs $400, but let&#8217;s say you upgraded from a previous version.  And let&#8217;s say you&#8217;re a small to medium business, and for round numbers you&#8217;ve got 100 employees.  To upgrade everyone to Office Standard 2007 costs you $23995.  To instead purchase an application suite priced like iWork &#8212; $30 for the bundle, is $3000 for everyone in your company.  You just saved $21,000.  </p>
<p>Leave aside the details &#8211; whether desktop software really will drop to the iPad level.  Whether the ease of interoperating with Office is such that businesses could afford to not have Microsoft Office on their desk.  The latter is just a matter of development, and the arms race to break compatibility if you&#8217;re Microsoft and recreate it fast enough if you&#8217;re a third party ISV.  </p>
<p>But one thing is clear.  A year from now or five years from now, the combination of Apple and Google are aiming squarely to cut Microsoft&#8217;s desktop software business off at the knees.  Who knows whether they succeed, but the ancillary effect will be a major restructuring of the economics of rich desktop software businesses, since they live in fitness landscape created by the interplay between these large players.  </p>
<p>And significant as the iPad hardware might be (more on this in future posts), Apple just shifted the fitness landscape with a bold move on the software side of the industry, and we shouldn&#8217;t lose sight of that in the midst of discussing lacking USB ports and cameras and so on.</p>
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		<title>Is it 10am yet?</title>
		<link>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/01/is-it-10am-yet.html#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/01/is-it-10am-yet.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2010 16:33:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>mark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mark.madsenlab.org/?p=1027</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ll admit it.  I&#8217;m an Apple fan.  I didn&#8217;t actually need to say that out loud to most people I know.  I joke that I should just tithe a percentage of my income to Cupertino, and have them send me one of everything in return &#8211; a &#8220;hardware subscription.&#8221; This morning, fingers crossed, we&#8217;ll learn&#8230;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ll admit it.  I&#8217;m an Apple fan.  I didn&#8217;t actually need to say that out loud to most people I know.  I joke that I should just tithe a percentage of my income to Cupertino, and have them send me one of everything in return &#8211; a &#8220;hardware subscription.&#8221;</p>
<p>This morning, fingers crossed, we&#8217;ll learn more about the new &#8220;tablet&#8221; device.  The leaks have been accelerating for days, business partners ringing my iPhone constantly to tell me breaking news, and of course I&#8217;ve read all the non-news news purporting to describe authoritative leaks.</p>
<p>But none of it matters, because ultimately what we want to see is Steve, dressed in his usual black and white, stand onstage and give <em><strong>The Demo</strong></em>.  If you&#8217;re in the biz, The Demo is King.  The Demo is where you set expectations, destroy preconceived notions.  The Demo is where you win or lose, fundamentally.  Because before The Demo, the chessboard is empty.  The Demo is where you put your pieces down &#8212; not in the starting configuration, but hopefully in position to reach mate in the fewest moves possible.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re Doug Englebart, giving the mother of all demos, you literally change the world by showing us the ragged bits that the rest of us will spend the next forty years making smooth and usable and real.  Everything that followed:  Dan Bricklin&#8217;s Visicalc, Alan Kay&#8217;s pioneering work, Steve and Steve with the Apple II, Bill Gates, Tim Berners-Lee and the Web, Netscape, Linus Torvalds&#8230;all of it the work of giants in our field&#8230;all of it playing out the possibilities inherent in that mother of all demos.</p>
<p>Steve Jobs consciously aims at game-changing demos:  the original iPhone demo was, as was OS X and the Intel transition.  I don&#8217;t know that today&#8217;s announcement will rise to that level, but I hope so.</p>
<p>I think our industry is getting tired of playing out the possibilities inherent in a forty-year-old demo.  It would be nice to have some new territory to explore.</p>
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		<title>Amazon and the Kindle:  A customer service tale&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/01/amazon-and-the-kindle-a-customer-service-tale.html#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://mark.madsenlab.org/2010/01/amazon-and-the-kindle-a-customer-service-tale.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 24 Jan 2010 18:32:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>mark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Books]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[syndication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[general]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Personal]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mark.madsenlab.org/?p=1022</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Early in my experience with the Kindle DX, which I love and use constantly, I put the default Amazon case or cover on it. The cover attaches to the Kindle through two metal tabs that engage in the side of the Kindle&#8217;s plastic case. It&#8217;s not a bad cover, but it turns out that if&#8230;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Early in my experience with the Kindle DX, which I love and use constantly, I put the default Amazon case or cover on it.  The cover attaches to the Kindle through two metal tabs that engage in the side of the Kindle&#8217;s plastic case.  It&#8217;s not a bad cover, but it turns out that if you open the cover upside down accidentally (easy to do since the nondescript black leatherette looks about the same apart from the Amazon logo), the metal tabs flex the Kindle&#8217;s case and it can become cracked.  Mine was within 2 weeks of getting the device, but without any real damage.  I kept using the Kindle since I didn&#8217;t want to hassle with returns, migrating content, or being without my Kindle.</p>
<p>Last Friday night, I open an email from Amazon, and it contains a friendly reminder about my Kindle warranty and what it provides me.  And in the middle, a little paragraph precisely describing what can happen if you open the default cover/case backwards &#8212; describing the cracking I&#8217;ve got.  And the email encourages you to get in touch with Support.</p>
<p><span id="more-1022"></span>After decades of purchasing high-tech gadgets and software, naturally I&#8217;m skeptical, but this is Amazon, so I shoot them an email and say I&#8217;d love to get the cracks fixed so they don&#8217;t get worse, but don&#8217;t want to be without the Kindle for very long.</p>
<p>Within 15 minutes I get a simple, auto-generated email saying that a replacement Kindle DX is in the shipping queue, and that when it arrives I should simply transfer any non-Amazon content I&#8217;ve loaded onto my old one, swap devices, and send the old one back with the pre-paid shipping label provided.  In fact, I have 30 days to migrate to the new device and send the old one back (if I don&#8217;t, they&#8217;ll simply charge me the cost of the device).</p>
<p>I shouldn&#8217;t be blown away by this, because Amazon bases their business on fast service, shipment, resolution of problems, etc.  When they estimate the delivery date of a book, I know it&#8217;s always that date &#8212; or earlier.  Returns of erroneous shipments or broken items have always been easy.  So I should have expected this kind of treatment for the Kindle.</p>
<p>But I didn&#8217;t.  Somehow, when the product or service is highly technical &#8212; not just an order of toiletries, CDs or books &#8212; I&#8217;ve come to expect crappy service and support.  Haven&#8217;t you?</p>
<p>Amazon (and to a significant, but lesser extent Apple) continue to show that customer service and advanced technology and services can go together quite nicely.  Kudos, Amazon.  And thanks &#8212; not just for fixing my Kindle, but going out of your way to remind me that I had every right to have my cracked Kindle fixed.</p>
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