Liveblogging: VP Debate

This is a tough one. Cheney’s no slouch, and in watching him one understands why everyone always uses the term “gravitas” to describe him. The questions are pretty tough and on point. Edwards is doing a good job, in my view, but this is a ground war, without flashy rejoinders or clear hits. Cheney’s strategy is to answer in incredible detail, and he’s very articulate.

Cheney just managed to really duck the “Halliburton and sanctions” question when asked, but Edwards is punching back. Hard. Cheney just called the Halliburton discussion a “smokescreen” and brought up FactCheck.org. This appears to have caused everyone in America to point their browsers at FactCheck.org, because it seems to be taking heavy traffic.

Ouch. Cheney is accusing Edwards of missing all of his key votes and committee meetings. As President of the Senate, “first time I ever met you, was tonight when you walked on stage.” Damn, this guy is tough. But Edwards is hitting back with Cheney’s voting record….oooh, he voted against HeadStart and Meals on Wheels for seniors….I think Cheney’s devil horns are starting to show.

First presidency in 70 years to lose jobs….Edwards is hitting hard on job losses, after Cheney ducked the jobs question by talking about No Child Left Behind. “John Kerry and I believe that we have a moral responsibility not to leave trillions of dollars of debt for our grandchildren.”

Wow…same-sex marriage. The moderator is drilling Cheney on his comment that “freedom means freedom for everybody”, and now Cheney is trying to duck why that doesn’t mean same-sex marriage. Wow. Cheney essentially just blamed Bush for the FMA, saying that “the President sets policy in this administration, and I support the President.” Now Edwards is waffling his way through same-sex marriage.

Congratulations to Burt Rutan and Scaled Composites on the Ansari X Prize

This really is a terrific day. SpaceShipOne flew to 368,000 feet (69.7 miles and 7 miles higher than the requirement) for the second time in five days, winning the Ansari X Prize. This really could mark the beginnings of private space travel — albeit still for the wealthy, and not any time soon as a commodity.

But that shouldn’t detract from the real accomplishment made by Burt Rutan, and pilots Michael Melvill and Brian Binnie. Congratulations!

Switching horses in mid-stream: the silliest meme

When I hear people voice their concern about “switching horses” in mid-stream, I can’t help but reflect on how deeply the administration’s talking points have penetrated the general consciousness. Lincoln’s slogan was a tactic, not a logical argument — whether applied to one of our nation’s greatest Presidents, or to the current incumbent.

Because out in the real world, nobody really believes that “switching horses midstream” is a bad idea. Corporations fire underperforming CEOs (as with Craig Conway being fired from PeopleSoft). Companies fire under-performing employees, after giving them a chance to improve. When your Internet provider gives you terrible performance and even worse customer service, you escalate your complaint and then find another ISP. You get the idea.

In a democratic republic, we operate on the same principle. We call it by different names, but it’s important to remember that we interview candidates for a job, and then select the most popular candidate (whom we hope is also the best) for the job. The new employee gets a contract: four years for a President, six years for a Senator, and so on. When their contract expires, we evaluate their performance, and if they’ve performed badly, we pick somebody new.

A healthy company depends on creating a spiral of constant improvement — in ideas, and in people. Keeping an underperforming CEO or business plan isn’t how companies succeed in a competitive market. To succeed, they learn from mistakes, hire talent, and fire underperformers when necessary.

Scale it up into global terms and nothing changes. Healthy democracy and a strong, competitive nation depend on a spiral of constant improvement — in ideas and of people. Not “switching horse mid-stream” is little more than the plea of the employee that knows they haven’t been performing well.

And the incumbent has little to offer except “more of the same,” and a flimsy attempt to scare us by touting the dangers of “switching horses midstream.” Well, I for one, don’t buy it.

Live debate thoughts…

An hour into the debate. Kerry is articulate, giving relatively short, crisp answers. Bush has appeared hesitant, befuddled, and hesitant throughout the debate. Bush also appears defensive in a lot of his answers. Little is being said that we haven’t heard before, but I think Kerry is doing a good job of being calm, strong, and decisive. Bush keeps hitting all the hot buttons about “changing positions” and is really slamming the “wrong war at the wrong time” meme as often as possible.

Oooh….Kerry just landed a punch on nuclear proliferation, noting that Bush has secured less nuclear material since 9/11 than before.

I’m really glad that Kerry brought up the 100K+ hours of untranslated tapes, and is stressing failures in homeland security and the “war on terror.” Kerry is appearing quite presidential tonight. It’ll be interesting to see how the polls respond to this debate. Novak’s live blogging on CNN is hilarious: exactly the opposite of how I’m seeing it.

It’s interesting. Kerry keeps talking about what the President has failed to do. Bush keeps responding about how much money he’s spent towards doing things. He doesn’t say much about whether much of it gets accomplished.

Oh god. Bush is touting missile defense. “We’ll be implementing missile defense system relatively quickly.”

Carl Woese, Common Descent, and “Intelligent Design”

Efforts by Stephen Meyer (and the Discovery Institute) to prop up “Intelligent Design” as a scientific alternative to Darwinian evolution continue apace. This isn’t exactly news, but their twisting of Carl Woese’ views on common descent is particularly indicative of the unscientific nature of Intelligent Design, and its status as a political rather than scientific effort. I hadn’t posted much on “ID” on the Extended Phenotype to date, mostly because its arguments seemed to be slightly updated versions of Paley’s watchmaker informed with better math but little else.

In many ways, Meyer’s use of Woese to debunk Darwinian evolution by questioning common descent is far more interesting than Dembski’s overly simplistic probabilistic information theoretic arguments against undirected natural selection. Why is this the case? Because while Dembski’s arguments (most particularly in Reflections on Human Origins) rely upon probabilistic arguments and even older forms of argument by design, Meyer’s attack on common descent appears to draw upon the arguments of someone very much “inside” the evolutionary establishment — Carl Woese.

Woese is something of an icon within modern evolutionary biology, having spent his career probing the mysteries of the earliest phylogeny of life. His statements questioning “common descent” are not, as Meyer claims, aimed at questioning the Darwinian canon (1). Instead, Woese is saying something much more subtle: horizontal gene transfer in the early history of acellular and cellular life may account equally well for the ubiquity of a common biochemical basis for life and strong homology among coding and transcription mechanisms. Woese is making an empirical point: currently, we have no way to distinguish between one single origin for life, and multiple independent origins which promiscuously shared information via HGT. This empirical dilemma does not invalidate Darwinian evolution, as proponents of ID claim. It merely adds an intriguing question to the list of issues scientific analysis of evolution has yet to solve.

Meyer’s misuse of Woese isn’t caused by misreading, or the subtle nature of the argument. Reading Woese’s work, one is struck by the intense commitment to elucidating the deepest structures of our evolutionary history, and overcoming tired arguments which have structured the field for far too long. No, Meyer and proponents of Intelligent Design understand Woese just fine. They simply choose to misuse, misinterpret, and misrepresent his work in service to their argument.

And this is the insidious nature of the Intelligent Design phenomenon. Working scientists see through Dembski, Meyer, and Behe with little trouble, given background in the field. The public, however, has more trouble doing so, given that Intelligent Design arguments are written in the style of scientific arguments, attempt to cite evidence, and are dressed in the trappings of modern scholarship. Unless you have the substantive background to examine their arguments, it can be difficult to recognize that their arguments are all style, no substance.

I don’t really know how to combat this phenomenon. It does seem bound up in better general education on the nature of scientific inquiry and how scientific arguments are constructed. But ultimately we cannot expect people untrained in biology or evolutionary theory to distinguish two arguments which are formally similiar but substantively different. Perhaps we can combat it most effectively by electing leaders who respect science, and are less prone to giving ideologically driven pseudo-science the legitimacy of a place at the table.

Notes:

(1) Woese, C. 2004 A New Biology for a New Century, Microbiology and Molecular Biology Reviews 68(2): 173-186.

Postscript: on a related but different note, I highly recommend the Woese article cited above. I can’t link to a freely available electronic version but a decent university library will have the journal. The article is a superb look at the state of molecular biology and its relation to phylogenetics and evolution as we leave the twentieth century, and how we might regenerate a deeper, more unified perspective on biology and evolution that isn’t so narrowly functional and reductionist.

Quiet lately, but a good book recommendation

Writing has taken a back seat lately to work, since we’re coming up on a deadline. I’ll be back to posting more regular in the coming week. I have been reading The Right Nation: Conservative Power in America, by John Micklethwait and Adrian Wooldridge. The authors are responsible for the Economist’s coverage of the United States, and have an interesting viewpoint as (partial) outsiders to our political struggles. More on that as I finish the last few chapters, but thus far I recommend it highly.